US overdose deaths fell again in 2025, but some worry about policy and
drug supply changes
[May 14, 2026]
By MIKE STOBBE
NEW YORK (AP) — About 70,000 Americans died of drug overdoses last year
— about 14% fewer than the previous year, according to preliminary
government data.
It was the third straight annual drop, making it the longest decline in
decades, according to federal data released Wednesday. The 2025 total is
about the same as the tally in 2019, before the COVID-19 pandemic.
Declines were seen across a number of drug types, including fentanyl,
cocaine and methamphetamine. Overdose deaths fell in the vast majority
of states, although seven saw at least slight increases, including jumps
of 10% or more in Arizona, Colorado and New Mexico, the preliminary data
from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention showed.
“I’m cautiously optimistic that this represents really a fundamental
change in the arc of the overdose crisis,” said Brandon Marshall, a
Brown University researcher who studies overdose trends.
But the number of Americans dying from overdoses is still high, and
deaths declined at a slower pace last year. A number of things could
cause deaths to rise again — including government policy changes or a
shift in the drug supply, Marshall and other researchers say.
“If deaths are going down rapidly, that means they can increase just as
rapidly if we take our foot off the gas,” Marshall said.

Overdoses rose during the height of the pandemic
U.S. overdose deaths were generally rising for decades, but they shot up
dramatically during the pandemic, peaking at nearly 110,000 in 2022. The
pandemic spike was associated with social isolation and difficulties
accessing addiction treatment.
Deaths declined as the pandemic waned. Researchers have pointed to
numerous possible factors: an increase in the availability of the
overdose-reversing drug naloxone, expanded addiction treatment, shifts
in how people use drugs, and the growing impact of billions of dollars
in opioid lawsuit settlement money.
Some research also suggests the number of people likely to overdose has
been shrinking, as fewer teens take up drugs and many illicit drug users
have died. Another theory suggests regulatory changes in China a few
years ago appear to have diminished the availability of precursor
chemicals used to make fentanyl.
The nation's decades-long overdose epidemic has played out at different
paces in different parts of the country, due at least in part to
differences in the illicit drug supply and what people are using. The
death increases last year in Arizona, Colorado and New Mexico could stem
from more combined use of fentanyl and methamphetamine recently in those
places, Marshall guessed.

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Jonathan Dumke, a senior forensic chemist with the Drug Enforcement
Administration, holds vials of fentanyl pills at a DEA research
laboratory on April 29, 2025, in Northern Virginia. (AP Photo/Mark
Schiefelbein, File)

New substances are showing up in the US drug supply
Health and law enforcement officials in recent months have been sounding
alarms about newer drugs that were increasingly detected in 2025.
Alex Krotulski is director of the Center for Forensic Science Research
and Education, a federally funded toxicology lab in Horsham,
Pennsylvania, that is an important part of a national illicit drug early
warning system.
In all of last year, the lab identified 27 new drugs. Less than five
months into 2026, the lab already has identified 23, he said.
Among the drugs on the lab’s radar is cychlorphine, a potent synthetic
opioid described as up to 10 times stronger than fentanyl. Experts say
it is being used as a cutting agent, added to other illicit drugs,
without the buyer’s knowledge.
“The drug supply continues to change and evolve,” Krotulski said.
Trump administration cuts some programs
Meanwhile, the Trump administration has been cutting programs designed
to reduce overdose deaths and infections tied to drug use. In a letter
last month, the federal Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services
Administration notified federal grant recipients that the government
would no longer pay for test strips and kits that help drug users see if
their drugs contain highly-lethal additives.

Officials say they are shifting away from services that facilitate
illicit drug use, including clean syringes and hotlines that people can
dial into while they use drugs.
Last week, a group of women who lost children to overdoses spoke with
reporters to protest government policies that emphasize punishment and
incarceration.
Kimberly Douglas founded one group, Black Moms Against Overdose, after
her 17-year-old son died.
“We are starting to see overdoses go down in some places and that’s
because of harm reduction” services like those being targeted by the
Trump administration, she said.
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