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Since then a series of economic indicators have shown the
British economy has made a stronger than anticipated start to
the year, which has the potential to put upward pressure on
inflation.
Inflation, though trending downward over the past year or so,
remains above the Bank of England's 2% target, at 3.4%.
“The early data covering 2026 hint at stronger demand and
stickier inflation than we had expected,” said Andrew Wishart,
senior U.K. economist at Berenberg Bank.
Economists said upcoming data will be key to when the central
bank cuts interest rates again.
Lower interest rates help spur economic growth by reducing
borrowing costs, which can lead to increased spending by
consumers and boost investment by businesses. But that can also
fuel higher prices.
Central bankers have to weigh those competing forces, trying to
prevent inflation from eroding the value of earnings and savings
without putting an unnecessary brake on economic growth.
Britain’s Labour government has lost significant support since
it won the general election in 2024, partly because of economic
factors. It will be hoping that inflation falls sharply this
year, allowing the central bank to further reduce borrowing
costs.
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