Tariffs paid by midsize US companies tripled last year, a JPMorganChase
Institute study shows
[February 20, 2026] By
JOSH BOAK
WASHINGTON (AP) — Tariffs paid by midsize U.S. businesses tripled over
the course of past year, new research tied to one of America’s leading
banks showed on Thursday — more evidence that President Donald Trump 's
push to charge higher taxes on imports is causing economic disruption.
The additional taxes have meant that companies that employ a combined 48
million people in the U.S. — the kinds of businesses that Trump had
promised to revive — have had to find ways to absorb the new expense, by
passing it along to customers in the form of higher prices, employing
fewer workers or accepting lower profits.
“That’s a big change in their cost of doing business,” said Chi Mac,
business research director of the JPMorganChase Institute, which
published the analysis Thursday. “We also see some indications that they
may be shifting away from transacting with China and maybe toward some
other regions in Asia.”
The research does not say how the additional costs are flowing through
the economy, but it indicates that tariffs are being paid by U.S.
companies. The study is part of a growing body of economic analyses that
counter the administration's claims that foreigners pay the tariffs.
The JPMorganChase Institute report used payments data to look at
businesses that might lack the pricing power of large multinational
companies to offset tariffs, but may be small enough to quickly change
supply chains to minimize exposure to the tax increases. The companies
tended to have revenues between $10 million and $1 billion with fewer
than 500 employees, a category known as “middle market.”

The analysis suggests that the Trump administration’s goal of becoming
less directly reliant on Chinese manufacturers has been occurring.
Payments to China by these companies were 20% below their October 2024
levels, but it’s unclear whether that means China is simply routing its
goods through other countries or if supply chains have moved.
The authors of the analysis emphasized in an interview that companies
are still adjusting to the tariffs and said they plan to continue
studying the issue.
White House spokesman Kush Desai called the analysis “pointless” and
said it didn't “change the fact that President Trump was right.” The
study showed that U.S. companies are paying tariffs that the president
had previously claimed would be paid by foreign entities.
Trump defended his tariffs during a trip to Georgia on Thursday while
touring Coosa Steel, a company involved in steel processing and
distribution. The president said he couldn’t believe the Supreme Court
would soon decide on the legality of some of his tariffs, given his
belief that the taxes were helping U.S. manufacturers.
“The tariffs are the greatest thing to happen to this country,” Trump
said.
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President Donald Trump visits Coosa Steel Corporation in Rome, Ga.,
Thursday, Feb. 19, 2026. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)

The president imposed a series of tariffs last year for the
ostensible goal of reducing the U.S. trade imbalance with other
countries, so that America was not longer importing more than it
exports. But trade data published Thursday by the Census Bureau
showed that the trade deficit climbed last year by $25.5 billion to
$1.24 trillion. The president on Wednesday posted on social media
that he expected there would be a trade surplus “during this year.”
The Trump administration has been adamant that the tariffs are a
boon for the economy, businesses, and workers. Kevin Hassett,
director of the White House National Economic Council, lashed out on
Wednesday at research by the New York Federal Reserve showing that
nearly 90% of the burden for Trump's tariffs fell on U.S. companies
and consumers.
“The paper is an embarrassment,” Hassett told CNBC. “It’s, I think,
the worst paper I’ve ever seen in the history of the Federal Reserve
system. The people associated with this paper should presumably be
disciplined.”
Trump increased the average tariff rate to 13% from 2.6% last year,
according to the New York Fed researchers. He declared that tariffs
on some items such as steel, kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities
were in the national security interest of the country. He also
declared an economic emergency to bypass Congress and impose a
baseline tax on goods from much of the world in April 2025 at an
event he called “Liberation Day.”
The high rates provoked a financial market panic, prompting Trump to
walk back his rates and then engage in talks with multiple countries
that led to a set of new trade frameworks. The Supreme Court is
expected to rule soon on whether Trump surpassed his legal authority
by declaring an economic emergency.
Trump was elected in 2024 on his promise to tame inflation, but his
tariffs have contributed to voter frustration over affordability.
While inflation has not spiked during Trump's term thus far, hiring
slowed sharply and a team of academic economists estimate that
consumer prices were roughly 0.8 percentage points higher than they
would otherwise be.
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