NYCB forecasts estimate-topping profit for next 2 years, shares jump

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[May 01, 2024]  (Reuters) -New York Community Bancorp forecast profits for the next two years that topped analysts' predictions by a wide margin, sending its battered shares up 15%.  

The bank, however, posted a first quarter loss and increased its loan loss provisions on Wednesday as it navigates what its CEO called a "transitional year".

A screen displays the trading information for New York Community Bancorp on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., January 31, 2024. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

"We have a clear path to profitability over the following two years," newly appointed CEO Joseph Otting said in a statement.

NYCB has been looking to cut its exposure to rent-regulated multi-family properties and office buildings in New York after fears of borrowers defaulting on their loans prompted it to set aside bigger rainy-funds.

The bank sees 2025 earnings per share (EPS) between 35 cents and 40 cents, higher than estimates of 28 cents, according to LSEG. It also expects 2026 EPS between 50 cents and 60 cents, higher than Wall Street's expectations of 36 cents.

Shares of the bank were last trading at $3.05. The stock is off 74% so far this year, after it posted a surprise quarterly loss in January and announced a 70% cut in its dividend.

A month later, it also disclosed it had found "material weakness" in internal controls and revised its loss to 10 times higher than earlier due to a goodwill impairment charge.

NO RELIEF THIS YEAR

The bank sees loss in 2024 between 50 cents and 55 cents per share, higher than the estimate of a 5 cent per share loss, suggesting that there would be little relief this year.

"We anticipate an elevated level of loan loss provision over the remainder of 2024 related to the potential for market and rate conditions to impact borrower performance on certain portions of our loan portfolio," Otting said.

Provision for credit losses rose to $315 million in the quarter, compared with $170 million in the year-ago period.

NYCB has been trying to arrest a persistent stock rout that has wiped billions off its market value, roughly a year after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank ignited widespread concerns over the health of the sector.

It received a $1 billion lifeline from an investor consortium led by former U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin's Liberty Strategic Capital in March that has helped shore up the bank for the short-term.

The bank posted a loss of $327 million, or 45 cents per share, in the three months ended March 31. That compares with a profit of $2.01 billion, or $2.87 per share, in the year-ago period.

(Reporting by Niket Nishant and Manya Saini in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)

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